[October 2025 Update] Unemployment Rates Affecting LMIA Applications for Low-Wage Positions by City: Latest Data (October 10, 2025 – January 8, 2026)
Date Posted:October 10, 2025
Last Updated:October 10, 2025
Index
- 1 Cities with Unemployment Rates of 6% or Higher (October 10, 2025 – January 8, 2026)
- 2 Overall Trend: Rising Unemployment in Major Urban Areas
- 3 Regions Showing Improvement: Stability in Quebec
- 4 Western Provinces See Noticeable Increases: Alberta and B.C. Worsen
- 5 Policy Impact: More Regions Exceeding 6% Threshold
For foreign workers who wish to work in Canada—and for employers looking to hire them—the Labour Market Impact Assessment (LMIA) process is an essential step.
Because LMIA applications are heavily influenced by the unemployment rate in each region, it is extremely important to stay up to date with the latest data.
This article explains in detail how the unemployment rates from October 10, 2025, to January 8, 2026, affect LMIA applications.
Cities with Unemployment Rates of 6% or Higher (October 10, 2025 – January 8, 2026)
Due to the LMIA application restrictions announced by the Government of Canada on September 26, 2024, employers can no longer submit LMIA applications for low-wage positions in Census Metropolitan Areas (CMAs) with an unemployment rate of 6% or higher.
The unemployment rates are updated quarterly.
The latest data, which applies to LMIA applications between October 10, 2025, and January 8, 2026, has now been released.
This quarter’s data shows a slight overall increase in unemployment nationwide, with growing contrasts between metropolitan areas.
Census Metropolitan Area | Unemployment rate (%) for applications submitted from July 11, 2025, to October 9, 2025 | Unemployment rate (%) for applications submitted from Octorber 10, 2025, to January 8, 2026 |
---|---|---|
St. John’s, Newfoundland and Labrador | 7.2 | 6.8 |
Halifax, Nova Scotia | 6.2 | 6.1 |
Moncton, New Brunswick | 6.4 | 7.3 |
Saint John, New Brunswick | 7.4 | 7.3 |
Fredericton, New Brunswick | 6.2 | 6.7 |
Saguenay, Quebec | 4.3 | 4.2 |
Québec, Quebec | 4.1 | 4.6 |
Sherbrooke, Quebec | 4.8 | 5.3 |
Trois-Rivières, Quebec | 5.2 | 5.1 |
Drummondville, Quebec | 5.6 | 4.7 |
Montréal, Quebec | 6.9 | 6.7 |
Ottawa-Gatineau, Ontario/Quebec | 6.4 | 7.7 |
Kingston, Ontario | 7.2 | 6.6 |
Belleville – Quinte West, Ontario | 7.1 | 6.6 |
Peterborough, Ontario | 9.9 | 5.6 |
Oshawa, Ontario | 9.2 | 9.5 |
Toronto, Ontario | 8.9 | 9.5 |
Hamilton, Ontario | 6.6 | 7.6 |
St. Catharines-Niagara, Ontario | 6.4 | 7.0 |
Kitchener-Cambridge-Waterloo, Ontario | 6.9 | 7.4 |
Brantford, Ontario | 6.8 | 9.4 |
Guelph, Ontario | 5.9 | 9.2 |
London, Ontario | 6.9 | 7.0 |
Windsor, Ontario | 11.0 | 11.3 |
Barrie, Ontario | 7.3 | 7.5 |
Greater Sudbury, Ontario | 5.4 | 7.0 |
Thunder Bay, Ontario | 5.1 | 5.1 |
Winnipeg, Manitoba | 5.6 | 7.3 |
Regina, Saskatchewan | 5.3 | 6.8 |
Saskatoon, Saskatchewan | 4.6 | 5.7 |
Lethbridge, Alberta | 5.2 | 8.5 |
Calgary, Alberta | 7.3 | 8.0 |
Red Deer, Alberta | 5.6 | 8.7 |
Edmonton, Alberta | 7.6 | 9.0 |
Kelowna, British Columbia | 5.0 | 6.0 |
Kamloops, British Columbia | 8.7 | 8.6 |
Chilliwack, British Columbia | 6.3 | 7.8 |
Abbotsford-Mission, British Columbia | 6.1 | 8.1 |
Vancouver, British Columbia | 6.3 | 6.8 |
Victoria, British Columbia | 4.1 | 5.2 |
Nanaimo, British Columbia | 7.3 | 9.7 |
Areas not listed here are not subject to these restrictions.
Unemployment rates are updated quarterly (April–June / July–September / October–December / January–March).
This table is quoted from the official website of the Government of Canada.
Source: Refusal to process a Labour Market Impact Assessment application
Overall Trend: Rising Unemployment in Major Urban Areas
In particular, Ontario, Alberta, and British Columbia have seen unemployment increases of 1 to 3 percentage points across multiple cities, clearly indicating a weakening labor market.
- Toronto: 8.9% → 9.5%
- Oshawa: 9.2% → 9.5%
- Windsor: 11.0% → 11.3% (the highest in the country)
- Edmonton: 7.6% → 9.0%
- Nanaimo: 7.3% → 9.7%
These cities—mainly reliant on manufacturing, services, and residential construction—are showing signs of slowdown, reflecting reduced labor demand.
Regions Showing Improvement: Stability in Quebec
In contrast, Quebec has shown relative stability.
Saguenay (4.3% → 4.2%) and Trois-Rivières (5.2% → 5.1%) saw slight improvement, while Drummondville recovered significantly (5.6% → 4.7%).
Meanwhile, Quebec City (4.1% → 4.6%) and Montreal (6.9% → 6.7%) recorded only minor fluctuations, indicating that the province’s overall labor market remains stable.
Western Provinces See Noticeable Increases: Alberta and B.C. Worsen
In Western Canada, unemployment increases were more pronounced.
Alberta continues to experience adjustments in its energy-related sectors, while British Columbia may be affected by declining housing starts and a slowdown in the construction industry.
- Red Deer: 5.6% → 8.7%
- Lethbridge: 5.2% → 8.5%
- Abbotsford–Mission: 6.1% → 8.1%
- Nanaimo: 7.3% → 9.7%
- Kamloops: 8.7% → 8.6% (remaining high)
Policy Impact: More Regions Exceeding 6% Threshold
Approximately 80% of metropolitan areas nationwide now exceed the 6% unemployment threshold during this period, meaning more regions will face restrictions on new LMIA applications for low-wage positions.
In particular, nearly all major CMAs in Ontario and British Columbia now surpass this threshold, which could significantly affect employers’ hiring plans for foreign workers.
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